Predatory mortgage lender Countrywide has done its math and figured out 122,000 of its victims customers can no longer borrow against their home equity lines of credit. Why? Because the customers have no home equity anymore. It’s gone, evaporated, as prices continue to fall and these borrowers now owe more than their home is worth. This is bad, right?
Not necessarily. It means that people who borrowed too much in the first place must now scale back their consumption. As all three of you who read this shambling mess of a blog know, yours truly is constantly advocating just that kind of thing.
This amounts to a slight tightening of credit. Will the Fed’s interest rates help?
Jeezus, people, why the hell would they? Interest rate cuts mean banks can now secure funds at a slightly lower cost. Will your credit card rates go down? Will your boss now give you a raise? Will commodity prices drop? Will that new car suddenly be more affordable?
Everyone who answered yes to even one of the above questions: go out and take a walk around the block. The exercise will do you good, and the night air will help clear the cobwebs from your thinking. This is not for you. I’ll say it again (and not just because it’s a line from one of my Pearl Jam favorites): This is not for you.
This is for the very large institutions for whom fractions of a cent mean millions. This is for very wealthy people, big spenders who are already financially very sound. Slate has a nifty piece on just this question called How Will the Interest Rate Cut Affect Me? Quote: “Consumers aren’t exactly the main focus for emergency rate cuts, which are designed to stimulate the economy and encourage large businesses to spend more.”
Don’t spend, or if you must, spend skeptically and wisely. Conserve your strength! When things get tighter–and as this awful decade hauls its bloodied carcass to its end, I’m betting things will go on getting tighter–your strength is yourself. Yourself, and those close to you.